Cedric Chin

Cedric Chin

I like Python, Go, green tea and cats. I'm responsible for Commoncog, and I write most of the things on Commonplace. You can shoot me an email at <my first name>@<this site>.com.

Expertise is ‘Just’ Pattern Matching

I find it a little difficult to believe that expertise is 'merely' pattern-matching. And yet it seems to have resulted in the some of my best learning outcomes over the past year. A look at my scepticism, in the context of several ideas we've covered in this blog.

How The Superforecasters Do It

A comprehensive summary of superforecaster techniques from Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner's Superforecasting. Because — let's face it — you want to predict the future, don't you?