Cedric Chin

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Cedric Chin

Word slinger, bug fixer, and operator.

How To Reduce Decision Noise

Five ways to do noise reduction, from the field of judgment and decision making.

Reduce Noise, Not Cognitive Biases

Results from the BIN paper, or why reducing noise in your decision making is far easier than fighting your cognitive biases.

The Gap Between Reputation and Personal Brand

Reputation is old. Personal brands are new. It is useful to know that they are not the same thing.

What Bill Gurley Saw

Some careers can be made on the back of a single, wonderful idea. We take a look at what that looks like, through Bill Gurley's VC career.

Enthusiasm Half-Life

Over the long term, enthusiasm for most projects fade with time. Here's one useful way to think about it.

The Parable of the Promotion Ladder and the Market — Action Sheet

Action sheet for 'The Parable of the Promotion Ladder and the Market'.

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Use The Metagame To Get Good Action Sheet

Action sheet for how to use the metagame to get good.

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Seek Failures Early Action Sheet

Action sheet for seeking failures early.

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The Games People Play With Cash Flow

One way that first principles thinking fails is when you build your analysis up from a deficient set of base principles. Everything is correct and true, but you still end up mistaken. Here's how that looks like in practice.

Competitive Arbitrage

If you want to understand career moats, understand competitive arbitrage. It is the background and justification for the pursuit of a moat.

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