Cedric Chin

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Cedric Chin

Word slinger, bug fixer, and operator.

How Do You Evaluate Your Own Predictions?

What happens when you adapt the scoring system of the Good Judgment Project to your intuitions at work?

Forecasting Under Uncertainty

Phillip Tetlock's Good Judgment Project asks if it possible to construct reasonably accurate forecasts under uncertainty. The answer to that is yes, and this matters because the pursuit of expertise is the pursuit of a predictive model that works.

Desire for Mission is a Career Limiting Belief

Why it's sometimes limiting to optimise for mission, especially if you're at the start of your career.

Personal Brand as Moat, Personal Brand as Soft Landing

Brands are an important tool for building economic moats in business. We look at how this translates to building career moats in an individual career.

Using Business Models to Evaluate Employers

Michael Kitces unintentionally gives us an example of what it looks like when someone turns an understanding of business models into actionable career decisions.

The Difference Between Experience and Expertise

An incredibly concise articulation of the difference between experience and expertise, by way of psych professor Greg Northcraft.

The Mental Model FAQ

A summary of the conclusions from my Putting Mental Models to Practice series. What are mental models? How did mental models become so popular?

Don't Beat Yourself Up Over Self-Directed Work

The most important lesson I learnt from writing and launching a book in 2019, applicable to all those who've decided to take on self-directed work in their lives.

Munger's Two Track Analysis

A practical exploration of Charlie Munger's ‘two-track analysis’ of human behaviour, applied to three scenarios you'll face at work.

(Book Excerpt) Compensation: How does money affect retention?

How does compensation affect the decision to quit a job? An excerpt from my upcoming book Keep Your People: The Startup Manager's Guide to Employee Retention.