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Prioritise The Highest Order Bit

Why focusing on the most important thing often means letting other things blow up.

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Working Backwards

Working Backwards is the first book that explains how Amazon really works.

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Hold the Lessons of History Loosely (Members Newsletter)

You know that 'loose feedback loop' thing? Yeah, it applies to historical narratives as well.

 Members only
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Product Development as Iterated Taste

What Amazon's Working Backwards process tells us about product development methodologies at large.

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Follow Your Nose

Why it's probably a good idea to keep a list of questions in your head. Also how I find topics to write about.

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A Loose Feedback Loop (Members Newsletter)

Why a loose feedback loop is just another way of saying 'better, more rigorous trial and error'.

 Members only
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Career Networking and Power

Can networking act as a career moat? The answer is more nuanced than you might think.

 Members only
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The Base Rate Is A Hell of A Thing

Respecting the base rate means figuring out what the odds of an outcome is, and assuming that it applies to you. Here's what that looks like when used as a thinking technique.

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Tacit Skill in Wicked Domains (Members Newsletter)

Wicked domains include stock picking, psychiatry, and intelligence analysis. What do skills in such domains really look like? We take a look at one example.

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All That is Rare and Valuable

Career moats consist of rare and valuable skills. But there are other things that are rare and valuable in a career. Here are a few examples.

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