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Seek Failures Early

A simple trick to use whenever you're thinking of doing a massive career change: find the people who have failed, and ask them why.

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Watch The Cash Flow

Why cash flow is a good lens to use as we watch the current recession unfolding in real time. Written with the employee in mind.

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Career Moats in a Recession

A couple of observations about career moats in a recession — which is what looks to be hurtling towards us as a result of the COVID19 pandemic.

Feature image for The Parable of the Promotion Ladder and The Market

The Parable of the Promotion Ladder and The Market

There are — loosely speaking — two kinds of advancement games you can play in your career. This is a parable about both.

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Reality Without Frameworks

How using frameworks can get in the way of actual sensemaking, and what to do about it.

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Prediction in the Time of the Coronavirus

Lessons I learnt while applying the Good Judgment Project's superforecasting techniques to the COVID-19 outbreak, albeit for personal reasons.

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Get Numb Before You Get Good

You can't pursue expertise if you're scared of starting. Why it's better to get numb first before you focus on getting good.

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To Get Good, Go After The Metagame

What do metagames have to do with the acquisition of expertise?

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What The CEO Wants You To Know

Ram Charan's 2001 book on business principles is probably the best concise introduction to how a business works.

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Expertise is ‘Just’ Pattern Matching

I find it a little difficult to believe that expertise is 'merely' pattern-matching. And yet it seems to have resulted in the some of my best learning outcomes over the past year. A look at my scepticism, in the context of several ideas we've covered in this blog.