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When you miss a deadline — was it because you messed up, or was it because your work was too uncertain?
You know that 'loose feedback loop' thing? Yeah, it applies to historical narratives as well.
Why a loose feedback loop is just another way of saying 'better, more rigorous trial and error'.
Wicked domains include stock picking, psychiatry, and intelligence analysis. What do skills in such domains really look like? We take a look at one example.