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Expertise is ‘Just’ Pattern Matching

I find it a little difficult to believe that expertise is 'merely' pattern-matching. And yet it seems to have resulted in the some of my best learning outcomes over the past year. A look at my scepticism, in the context of several ideas we've covered in this blog.


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How The Superforecasters Do It

A comprehensive summary of superforecaster techniques from Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner's Superforecasting. Because — let's face it — you want to predict the future, don't you?

Book Summaries

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What The CEO Wants You To Know

Ram Charan's 2001 book on business principles is probably the best concise introduction to how a business works.

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How to Win in a Winner-Take-All World

Neil Irwin's 2019 book How to Win is a tactical book on career planning in a the face of macro-economic change.

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Obviously Awesome

April Dunford's book on product positioning is awesome, and has some overlap with those of us who are interested in positioning an individual career.

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Peak

Peak is a 2016 book from K. Anders Ericsson, the leading authority on deliberate practice. It covers 30 years of research into the field, but ultimately fails as a practical guide to putting it to practice.

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Forecasting Under Uncertainty

Phillip Tetlock's Good Judgment Project asks if it possible to construct reasonably accurate forecasts under uncertainty. The answer to that is yes, and this matters because the pursuit of expertise is the pursuit of a predictive model that works.