Better models for operating in the world.
Psychological heuristics (or mental shortcuts) tend to get a bad rep today. But heuristics are what makes expertise possible. Here's why heuristics aren't as bad as we make them out to be.
There are three types of tacit knowledge, all of which 'cannot be captured through words alone'.
Actionable books are books that contain techniques or approaches you may apply to your life. Here's how to read them.
An in-depth look at John Boyd and the OODA loop, the strategic thinker most concerned about fast adaptation under uncertainty.
When you're taking action in the face of uncertainty, you have to make peace with the idea that you're never going to know if you're doing the right thing. This pandemic is one way of remembering what that's going to feel like.
Is it really worth it to generate well-calibrated probabilistic predictions? Or would you do better if you assume that all prediction is too difficult, and act as if this were the case?
Notes from putting three variations of productivity momentum to practice.
A simple trick to use whenever you're thinking of doing a massive career change: find the people who have failed, and ask them why.
A couple of observations about career moats in a recession — which is what looks to be hurtling towards us as a result of the COVID19 pandemic.
There are — loosely speaking — two kinds of advancement games you can play in your career. This is a parable about both.